The Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem is pressuring Armenia (border incidents, Aliyev’s statements) to force the country make concessions quickly while it is weak. This is what political scientist Suren Sargsyan wrote on his Facebook page.
“On the Syunik corridor (road)
The corridor (road) passing through Syunik Province that will link Azerbaijan to Nakhchivan and then to Turkey, will have a serious impact from the perspective of regional security. The most important thing is who will be the guarantor of security of this corridor. It will be either the Russians or the Turks, and since there is still no corridor, I believe there is still no final agreement on which country’s troops will be there.
1. The Turks obviously want to have control over the road, have influence on Armenia, completely control movement from the north to the south and vice versa and keep Iran dependent.
2. The Russians want to maintain control over the road, as well as control over the Turkish-Azerbaijani cooperation and to strengthen their positions to a certain extent.
3. The Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem is pressuring Armenia (border incidents, Aliyev’s statements) to force the country make concessions quickly while it is weak.
4. Putin preparing Armenia for painful concessions means there will be a road in any case, alongside works for demarcation. At the same time, I believe the Russians are still trying to win time, taking into consideration their own problems. It’s even hard for a superpower like Russia to serve its interests in Europe, Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia, Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh), the Middle East, Central Asia and other areas. Sometimes Russia has to wait, and sometimes it has to organize a tactical retreat, and all this is on the backdrop of economic issues and political tension in the country.
5. I don’t rule out the presence of Turkish troops after an agreement is reached because, unlike the Russians, the Turks didn’t gain armed presence in the region after the war, even though they had a great desire. Perhaps the Turks will be there so that they can also balance the Russian presence,” he wrote.
Russia has let Turkey penetrate Azerbaijan and make war (along with Israel) against Russia’s only real ally anywhere, namely Armenia.
This makes no sense from a Russian perspective.
Russia ALREADY had a major presence in Armenia that could have stopped any Turkish advance.
And Russia could have had a Russian presence in Artsakh without betraying Armenians in a costly war.
For Russia to now create a Turkish/Azeri path (in actuality a NATO path) across sourthern Armenia and then justify it by saying “Well, Russian soldiers will be there” makes no sense whatsover.
Frankly, it’s just more Russian stupidity.
– Russia lost Georgia.
– Turkey beat Russia in Libya.
– Russia is unable to kick Turkey out of Syria.
– The Black Sea is becoming a NATO lake. Look at a map.
– Now Putin has threatened Erdogan over Ukraine but Erdogan has ignored him. Ukraine is gone.
– Turkey (and China) have made inroads into Turkic Central Asia and are pushing Russia aside.
Russia seems to think that when it loses it wins.
Russian logic = Backwards logic.
Russia is losing just about everywhere in the world and is going down.
Out of ALL the countries in the world, including Russia’s enemies, ask yourself this:
Which country does Putin CHOOSE to pick on and continue to HUMILIATE?
That’s right: his small (and only) ally, Armenia.
That tells you what Putin is all about.
When he can’t win, he takes it out on his family and friends (even though he may have only one friend.).
Like a man who is the biggest loser in life, whom does he beat up?
His nice, defenseless wife.
How would you describe a man like that?