December 29, 2017 Armenia - Defense Minister Vigen Sargsian (R) inspects troops deployed along the border with Azerbaijan, The Armenian military remains the most trusted institution in Armenia, according to an opinion poll conducted recently. The Armenian branch of the U.S.-funded Caucasus Resource Research Center (CRRC) interviewed more than 1,600 randomly chosen households across the country in November as part of the CRRC's annual Caucasus Barometer survey. The survey gauged public opinion in Armenia and Georgia on a wide range of issues facing the two neighboring countries. According to its findings released last week, 51 percent of Armenians "fully trust" and another 26 percent "rather trust" their armed forces. The CRRC's previous surveys found similarly strong popular support for the Armenian army, a sentiment that appears to reflect the unresolved Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The latest CRRC poll shows that the Armenian Apostolic Church and other religious organizations active in the country were the second most trusted institution, with 74 percent of respondents having confidence in them. The poll found much lower degrees of public trust towards the executive and legislative branches of government. In particular, only 18 percent of those polled said they trust President Serzh Sarkisian, according to the CRRC. Public confidence in the Armenian parliament was found to be even weaker. Respondents were also asked questions relating to foreign policy. Two-thirds of them said they approve, in one way or another, of Armenia's membership in the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union. Accordingly, 64 percent described Russia as Armenia's "friendliest" foreign partner. At the same time, 55 percent of those polled voiced varying degrees of support for Armenia's potential accession to the European Union.
Exit poll: Republican Party of Armenia wins 46%, Tsarukyan bloc 25% of votes
YEREVAN. – The results of the exit poll conducted for Yerkir Media TV channel by Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization are the following:
Republican Party of Armenia (RPA) – 46%,
Tsarukyan bloc – 25%,
Yelk (Way Out) – 10%,
ARF Dashnaktsutyun – 5%,
Armenian Revival Party – 5%,
Ohanyan-Raffi-Oskanian – 4%,
Congress-PPA – 4%,
Free Democrats – 3%,
Communist Party of Armenia – 3%.
30,000 voters took part in the aforementioned exit poll, which was conducted in cooperation with the Armenian Sociological Association
Armenian Parliamentary elections: Gallup International Association presents preliminary findings of opinion poll
Armenian representation of the Gallup International Association has conducted an opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the run-up to the April 2 Parliamentary elections.
Aram Navasardyan, Director of Gallup International Association Office in Armenia told a press conference today, saying the opinion poll was conducted among 1,146 respondents from February 23 to March 2 in the territory of Armenia.
According to the results, 26,4 % of the respondents said they would vote for “Tsarukyan” bloc when asked which political party of bloc they would you vote for if the parliamentary elections were held on forthcoming Sunday.
According to the survey, 22,8 percent of Armenians stated their intention to vote for the ruling Republican party (RPA), 4,3 percent – for “Exit” bloc, 3,9 percent – for ARF-Dashnaktsutyun, 3,4 percent – Free Democrats, 2,7 percent – “Armenian Renaissance”, 2,6 – ANC-HZhK, while 1 percent of the respondents stated desire to give their vote to the Communist Party.
14,1 percent declined to respond, while 27 percent were not precise what political force they preferred.
Speaking of the reason beyond the high approval rating of “Tsarukyan” bloc, Navasardyan said. “In our previous opinion poll conducted in November, there was a slight difference between the two dominant forces in Armenian provinces where respondents were mainly inclined to vote for “Tsarukyan” bloc, while the Republican party had a higher rating in capital Yerevan. The data are not that unexpected since the difference is only three percent which may change depending on the course of the election campaign,” Navasardyan said, declining to predict which direction the trend might go.
To the speaker’s estimates, in the opinion polls for the upcoming election, 4 political forces, – namely “Tsarukyan” bloc, RPA, “Exit” and ARF-Dashnaktsutyun are deemed to overcome the election threshold and enter parliament, while free Liberals have a good chance as well.
Gallup data also reveal that 59,9 percent of the respondents said they would definitely participate in the elections, 25,7 – likely participate, 4,3 – likely not participate, and 7,1 percent said they would not participate in the vote.
Based on survey data around 50-60 percent turnout is expected in the forthcoming elections.
Le Pen increases first round lead in French election: poll
French far right leader Marine Le Pen has increased her lead in the first round of France’s presidential election, though she is still seen being beaten by a wide margin in the runoff, a BVA-Salesforce poll published on Thursday showed.
The National Front head would win 27.5 percent of the vote in the April 23 first round, up 2.5 percentage points from the last time the poll was conducted on Feb 4.
Independent centrist Emmanuel Macron was seen coming in second in the first round with 21 percent of the vote, down one percentage point, followed by conservative Francois Fillon at 19 percent, also down one percentage point.
In the May 7 runoff vote, Macron was seen beating Le Pen 61 percent to 39 percent while Fillon was seen winning the presidency with 55 percent to 45 percent.
However, because the poll was conducted on Sunday and Monday, it did not reflect the impact of the latest developments in the fast moving campaign, which has seen Fillon lose an early poll lead after being investigated over public funds he paid his family.
The poll did not take into account the possibility of veteran centrist Francois Bayrou running. On Wednesday, Bayrou announced that he would not run and would instead support Macron, which analysts say should give him a boost.
Also on Wednesday Le Pen’s chief of staff was put under formal investigation as part of a probe into alleged misuse of EU funds to pay parliamentary assistants.
New Karabakh poll shows highest support for independence
New figures confirm that security is the main concern for the people of Nagorno Karabakh, and that combined support for independence or unification with Armenia has grown from 91.7% in 2015 to 95.1% in 2016.
Hovhannes Grigoryan, CEO of the Institute for Political and Sociological Consulting (IPSC), presented the results of a new opinion poll on socio-economic developments, public perceptions of foreign affairs, international recognition, and Nagorno Karabakh conflict resolution.
The poll was conducted in July 2016 (shortly after the Four-Day War) and involved 1,081 people in Stepanakert and the 7 regions of Karabakh, and cross-referenced with a similar survey conducted in March 2015.
The figures show an increase in the number of people who believe Karabakh should be independent, compared to those who prefer it become a part of Armenia. An even more significant trend was observed among the younger and the educated, who support independence in a much higher proportion (61.2% of population between 18 and 30 years and 53.6% of the university-educated support independence).
Furthermore, public’s approval of Government’s performance in the sectors of Defence and Foreign Affairs has decreased, while the perception that Karabakh is on the right track is still considerably high at 78.9% percent.
The issue of peace and security remains the predominant concern for half of the people of Karabakh, followed by unemployment and international recognition of the Republic. Despite these concerns, declared intentions for migration remain at a very low level.
Turkey May Become ‘Ungovernable’ After Elections – Polling Expert
Turkey’s government may slide into chaos if the country’s political parties are unable to form a coalition following November’s elections, the head of an Istanbul polling agency told Sputnik Turkiye.
Turkey’s government will descend into chaos if the parties standing for election do not negotiate a coalition, the head of Turkey’s Konda polling agency Tarhan Erdem told Sputnik Turkiye.
No single party has a clear majority in opinion polls for Turkey’s upcoming November 1 parliamentary elections, and it may be impossible for a coalition to form because of the parties’ polarized attitude toward each other, according to Erdem. Konda is one of Turkey’s most authoritative yet secretive public opinion polling agencies.
“The country has literally approached a line, behind which is an abyss called an ‘ungovernable state.’ Responsibility for this lies on all participants of the political processes,” Erdem told Sputnik Turkiye.
The upcoming election was announced after Turkey’s June 15 elections resulted in no clear majority or coalition. Opinion polls have not changed greatly since then, although Turkey’s political climate has become increasingly polarized following terrorist attacks against political activists, including a peace rally bombing in Ankara on October 10, which killed 102 people.
Erdem added that Turkey’s president has to gather the political parties’ leaders following the elections to discuss strategies for governing the country. He noted that political players would have to stop searching for enemies and work toward an agreement for this to happen.
“Otherwise, if party leaders begin forming the government without agreeing to a further action program, Turkey is threatened with a descent into chaos, which may turn out to be much more serious than the tense atmosphere we see in the country now,” Erdem added.
According to most recent opinion polls, President Recep Erdogan’s AKP party is polling at slightly above 40 percent, and the party’s sharp disagreements with the nationalist MHP and the secularist CHP may make it very difficult for them to form a ruling coalition.
Turkey: Most Turks hold negative view of Erdogan: Poll
Only 39% of Turks have a favorable view of Turkish Presiden Recep Tayyip Erdogan and over half (51%) of the Turkish people hold a negative view of the president, the results of a recent poll show.
The results of the poll, which was conducted by Pew Research Center from April to May and released on October 15, show that Erdogan’s popularity is falling.
This comes as, last year, 51% of Turks had a positive view of Erdogan; and in 2013, he had the support of 62% of the people.
The findings of the survey indicate that Erdogan’s supporters were mainly Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) followers (87% favorable), Turks aged 50 and older (54%), lower-educated Turks (53%) and Muslim Turks who pray 5 times per day or more (71%).
This comes as a survey, conducted by pollster Gezici between October 3 and 4, indicated that the AKP is unlikely to win enough votes needed to form a single-party government in the country’s upcoming snap elections. The survey of 4,864 people, the results of which were released on October 15, showed that public support for the AKP, founded by Erdogan, currently stands at 40.8 percent.
The figure shows little change compared to the 40.9 support percent the party received in the elections on June 7, when it failed to form a government after 13 years of unrivaled ruling. Two months later, November 1 was set as the date for the snap votes in the wake of a failure in coalition talks between the AKP and main opposition factions.
Strong leader or strong democracy
The latest Pew poll also studied Turkish people’s preference between a strong leader or a strong democracy.
The results revealed that as much as 56 % of the participants in the study favored a democratic form of government and 36 % percent of them believed that Turkey should have a strong leader.
Iraqi, Syrian refugees
The poll also surveyed Turkish people’s view on the inflow of Iraqi and Syrian refugees into Turkey.
It was discovered that a vast majority of Turks (80 %) opposed the entry of refugees from the neighboring countries into Turkey and only 8 % of the participants in the poll favored the inflow of the refugees.
The violence caused by the Takfiri Daesh terrorist group in Iraq and Syria, which is backed by certain western and regional countries, including Saudi Arabia and Turkey, has forced millions of people in the two crisis-hit countries to leave their homeland.
Russia: More than 70 percent of Russians support Moscow’s bombing campaign in Syria: Poll
More than 70 percent of Russians support Moscow’s bombing campaign against Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) in Syria but the danger of getting sucked into a protracted war is not lost on the public, a new poll showed Oct. 8.
The study conducted just days after President Vladimir Putin secured permission from parliament to launch air strikes in Syria found that most Russians approve of his latest decision to use force abroad.
The launch of strikes in Syria is Russia’s first major military involvement outside former Soviet Union territory since the invasion of Afghanistan in 1979.
Seventy two percent of respondents said they approved of the bombing campaign and 46 percent said they agreed with the decision of the rubber stamp parliament’s upper house to allow Putin to use force abroad, said the independent Levada Centre.
Poll BBC Answer the question “Do you trust to #Turkey to fight against Daech #ISIS?
The online newspaper Le Figaro has set up a poll asking readers to answer yes or no to the question “Do you trust to Turkey to fight against Daech? “At 11:50 on July 24, 3675 on the voters, the NO won with 69%, against 31% YES.
Jean Eckian © armenews.com
Pew poll: Israel most hated country in Turkey
86% of responders have an unfavorable opinion of Israel, while only 2% view it positively; Turks also harbor a strong dislike to terror organizations – 80% dislike Hamas, 85% dislike Hezbollah. report ynetnews
Israel is the country most hated by Turkish citizens, a Pew Research Center poll released last week found.
Responders were asked whether they have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of a selection of states (US, China, Brazil, Russia, Iran, Israel) and entities (such as the European Union and Nation).
Israel was found the most disliked country of the offered options, with 86 percent of responders saying they have an unfavorable opinion of Israel and only 2 percent seeing Israel in a positive light.
There is of course no reason to be surprised of the negative view Turks have of Israel. A diplomatic rift was opened between the two countries during the 2008-9 Operation Cast Lead. At the height of the still-ongoing conflict was the Israeli commando raid of the Turkish “Mavi Marmara” ship that was attempting to break the blockade on Gaza. The incident left 10 Turkish citizens dead.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan often attacks Israel, publicly accusing it of “genocide” of the Palestinians.
Still, it’s interesting to learn just how much the Turkish public dislikes Israel.
Other than having a favorable opinion of their own country (78 percent, according to a 2012 poll), the Turks don’t think highly of any of the countries or entities asked about.
The Turks have a lot opinion of the European Union (66 percent unfavorable opinion, 25 percent favorable), China (68 percent negative views, 21 percent positive), the United States (73 percent negative views and 19 percent positive), Russia (73 percent negative, 16 positive), Brazil (65 percent negative, 20 percent positive) and Iran (75 percent negative, 14 percent positive).
Saudi Arabia, however, another Sunni state, is the most liked of the countries asked about, but even then, only 26 percent of Turks have a favorable opinion of it, while 53 percent have an unfavorable opinion of it)