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Iran Rejects Turkmen Proposal For Gas Shipments To Turkey

October 30, 2017 By administrator

RFE/RL.Energy politics around the Caspian Sea breeds complications, as a recent example involving Turkmenistan, Iran, Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Armenia reminds us.

Turkmenistan is in a serious bind. The country has the fourth-largest natural gas reserves in the world but currently has only one customer — China — at a time when Turkmenistan’s economy appears to be spiraling downward.

Turkmenistan would likely sell gas to anyone at this point, considering its extreme revenue shortages, and needs to start selling to someone, soon.

So, according to reports from October 23-25, Turkmenistan is proposing a gas-swap deal with Iran to get Turkmen gas to Turkey, where it could be pumped into the Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP) that is currently under construction.

Iranian National Gas Company (INGC) Director Hamid Reza Araki, who is also deputy oil minister, replied that Iran was not “positively disposed” to the idea.

That response is hardly surprising.

Since the late 1990s, Turkmenistan has been shipping gas to northern Iran, an area that is poorly connected to Iran’s gas-rich south.

At the end of 2016, Turkmenistan demanded Iran pay somewhere around $2 billion (the figure is not entirely clear) for supplies of Turkmen gas to northern Iran during the winter of 2007-08.

Iran countered that the figure was too high and claimed that Turkmenistan had jacked up the gas price during that particularly bitter winter to $360 per 1,000 cubic meters, about nine times the usual price at the time.

Last-minute negotiations before the new year appeared to end in an agreement, but on January 1 Turkmenistan shut off the gas supplies — and they have remained off.

Iran says Turkmenistan illegally broke the contract and has periodically threatened to take Turkmenistan to international arbitration.

With that as a backdrop, there is little wonder Araki indicated that Tehran has no enthusiasm for helping Turkmenistan.

But Araki mentioned another reason the Turkmen proposal was never likely to be met with sympathy in Tehran.

“We are against the sale of a rival country’s gas to Turkey via swap operations,” Araki stated, an indication that even if the debt dispute between Turkmenistan and Iran is resolved, there is little hope Iran will ever cooperate in exporting Turkmen gas to Turkey.

There is no pipeline running the length of northern Iran from the Turkmen to Turkish border, so Ashgabat wants a swap: Turkmenistan exports gas for use in northern Iran, and Iran pumps a like amount into a pipeline (or one day probably pipelines) leading to Turkey.

TANAP is the prize for both Turkmenistan and Iran.

TANAP, a 1,840-kilometer pipeline to bring gas from Azerbaijan’s Shah Deniz-2 Caspian Sea field across Turkey to Europe, is currently under construction and is tentatively scheduled to be launched next year.

In its initial stages, TANAP will carry only Azerbaijani gas. But as the pipeline expands capacity on its way to eventually reaching some 60 billion cubic meters (bcm), there will be space for gas from other countries.

Turkmenistan would like to be one of those countries, but Iran — and potentially Iraq and northeastern Syria — are better positioned to provide gas to TANAP.

However, Turkmen gas is, and, according to INGC chief Araki, will continue moving to the west, at least as far as Azerbaijan.

Araki said Iran had no objections to a gas swap with Turkmenistan as concerns gas for Azerbaijan.

Azerbaijan is a gas producer, but it purchases Turkmen gas during the summer, when the price is low, to make “maximum use of the commercial potential of storage facilities” of the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR).

Reports did not mention the amount of Turkmen gas Azerbaijan purchases, but it could not be very much.

SOCAR buys Turkmen gas in the summer to “top off” its gas storage facilities, then resells the gas in winter at a profit.

Armenia is hoping for a similar arrangement and has offered to mediate the Turkmen-Iranian debt dispute in an agreement that would see a Turkmen-Iranian gas swap supplying gas to Armenia.

On October 20, Armenia’s minister of energy infrastructure and natural resources, Ashot Manukian, claimed that “we have proposed our involvement in settling debt-management issues between Turkmenistan and Iran, and they have accepted our proposal.”

Ashgabat certainly has not confirmed this, and it is difficult to see why Turkmenistan would agree to the Armenian proposal.

Manukian’s solution would see Iran settle its debt by shipping gas to Armenia; Armenia would then pay off Tehran’s debt to Ashgabat, but by barter, not cash.

Barter was exactly the deal Turkmenistan had with Iran before the dispute erupted.

Ashgabat had agreed to accept goods and services as compensation for the first $3 billion worth of gas exported to Iran, though Ashgabat was trying to renegotiate that agreement since Iranian gas imports rarely exceeded $3 billion.

Turkmenistan’s government wants cash, not goods, so it is difficult to see how the Armenian deal would suit Ashgabat.

Additionally, Turkmenistan did sell gas to Armenia in the 1990s via Russian pipelines and Armenia was regularly deep in debt for those supplies.

And, in any case, Manukian indicated Turkmenistan would probably be competing even for the small Armenian gas market.

Manukian said Armenia was ready to import more gas from Iran “if Iran offers lower prices.”

Manukian noted that Armenia also purchases gas from Russia for $150 per 1,000 cubic meters; meaning that if Iran, and presumably Turkmenistan, could sell their gas for less than that amount, Yerevan would be interested.

So it seems that Turkmenistan’s possibilities to export gas westward are, at best, limited.

It is interesting that Turkmenistan made the swap offer to Iran.

After all the acrimony this year in Turkmen-Iranian ties, Turkmen officials must have known the offer would probably get a cold reception in Tehran.

But Ashgabat made the offer all the same, because there are so few options and so little time left for the Turkmen regime to turn the country’s economy around.

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Iran, Turkey, Turkmen

Steve Bannon: Turkey is more Dangerous than Iran

October 29, 2017 By administrator

Los Angeles – Daphne Barak
He is the scariest name in the US politics (and overseas) these days…

New political candidates are lining up, trying to land a photo op with him, if not a full endorsement.

Incumbents – on the other hand – are trying not to irritate the man, who has declared WAR on many of them except for Senator Ted Cruz and on the Republican National Committee.

So here is what Bannon is thinking about the topics which matter;

“THE PAINFUL TRUTH ABOUT N. KOREA”

Bannon shocked many, when he said to a reporter that – despite his then boss, Trump’s threats – there is not really a military option about North Korea, without killing, “ten million people in Seoul in the first 30 minutes of any US military attack …”

Many believe that, that was the last straw, which caused him to be ousted from the White House.

Bannon doubles down on his infamous remark by now.

I ask if he stands by, “They got us…?”

He says shortly: “No military solution” for the North Korean crisis.

But he is aiming towards, at least two “more dangerous situations, people should pay attention to…”

“MOST DANGEROUS – TURKEY”

“Turkey is the biggest danger for us (US)!” He tells us with conviction. “No, not even close to (its neighbor) Iran…” He waves his hand in total rejection.

“No! We don’t read well what is going on in Turkey right now, under (President Recep Tayyip) Erdogan!! This is an issue I am going to pursue hard.”

“THE MUST ISOLATION OF QATAR”

Bannon simply loves to declare a new war. In fact – when he was fired from the White House, it took, a senior editor of Breitbart, seconds to tweet #WAR.

His next global war – he shares with a smile – is against Qatar.

“I credit Donald Trump on the measures taken against Qatar by the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt and Saudi Arabia. The boycott happened shortly after the (Trump) visit to Saudi Arabia, just like that…”

According to Bannon, Trump said that he backed Saudi Arabia’s stance even if he recently said he wanted to mediate this dispute.

Bannon added: “Qatar is as dangerous as North Korea! People should pay attention to this important situation.” He was referring to accusations against Qatar of backing extremist and terrorist groups.

Source: https://aawsat.com/english/home/article/1066421/steve-bannon-turkey-more-dangerous-iran

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Qatar, Steve Bannon, Turkey

A die-hard Erdogan loyalist Ankara’s eccentric mayor, Melih Gokcek pushed out Resign

October 28, 2017 By administrator

No one Survive Recep Tayyip Erdoğan HAND-SHAKE, Gagrulenet illustration

Ankara’s mayor, Melih Gokcek, has stepped down, becoming the sixth mayor to resign as Turkey’s Erdogan purges his party’s ranks. Erdogan appears to be worried about a string of elections in 2019.

Ankara’s eccentric mayor, Melih Gokcek, resigned Saturday after 23 years of running the Turkish capital, becoming the latest local politician to bow to pressure from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he shakes up his party.

The 69-year-old former mayor is one of Turkey’s most controversial and high-profile figures, regularly appearing on television and pushing conspiracy theories to his 4 million Twitter followers. He has famously claimed Western powers cause earthquakes to hurt Turkey, called German politician Cem Özdemir an “Armenian servant,”  and suggested the Obama administration created the “Islamic State.”

A die-hard Erdogan loyalist, Gokcek announced he would resign last Monday. He made the announcement in his trademark all-caps tweets after a three-hour meeting with Erdogan at the presidential palace.

“God willing, on Saturday the Ankara city council will hold an extraordinary meeting and I will say goodbye to its members and resign,” he wrote.

In the weeks leading up to the resignation, Gokcek appeared to resist pressure to step down from Erdogan, who said there would be consequences for mayors who didn’t resign.

Then, the pro-government media that once supported Gokcek started publishing articles suggesting he was close to the opposition Republican People’s Party and Fethullah Gulen, the US-based cleric Ankara blames for last year’s failed coup attempt.

Such media reports were clear threats, indicating an indictment could be pending for Gulen ties or corruption if the mayor didn’t step down. Similar to Erdogan, Gokcek was close to the Gulen movement before a fallout between it and the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) in 2013.

Erdogan purging mayors

Gokcek is the sixth mayor from Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) to resign under pressure in recent weeks, including those of Istanbul and Turkey’s fourth largest city of Bursa.

Under a state of emergency, Erdogan has also replaced more than 80 Kurdish mayors in the southeast with loyalist over the past year.

More than 50,000 people have been arrested and some 150,000 dismissed from their jobs in an ongoing cull in the wake of the failed coup attempt.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: Melih Gokcek, pushed out, resign, Turkey

Turkey Erdogan on the moves detain 121 ex-Foreign Ministry employees

October 26, 2017 By administrator

Turkey’s state-run news agency says authorities have issued warrants for the detention of 121 former Foreign Ministry employees, suspected of links to U.S.-based Muslim cleric Fethullah Gulen whom Turkey blames for last year’s failed coup attempt, New York Times reported.

Anadolu Agency says that police launched simultaneous operations Thursday in about 30 provinces to detain the ministry employees. It says the suspects were previously fired from posts as part of a vast government crackdown on suspected followers of Gulen’s movement.

Some of the suspects are believed to have used an encrypted secret messaging app allegedly favored by followers to communicate with each other, according to Anadolu.

Turkey has arrested more than 50,000 people and purged over 110,000 from government jobs in the failed coup’s aftermath.

Gulen denies involvement in the coup attempt.

 

Source Panorama.am

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: 121 ex-Foreign, detain, Erdogan, Turkey

Anti-US rhetoric helps Erdogan build smokescreens

October 24, 2017 By administrator

Pinar Tremblay,

On Oct. 17, a motorcycle parked on the side of the road exploded just as a shuttle bus for police officers was passing by the city of Mersin on Turkey’s Mediterranean coast. The remotely activated bomb injured 18 people. The Turkish Radio and Television Supreme Council promptly instituted a gag order on all media coverage of the attack. On Oct. 19, Minister of Development Lutfi Elvan said 11 suspects were taken into custody. Elvan added that early signs indicated the attack was the work of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which is considered a terrorist group by Turkey and the United States.

The Mersin explosion became a trending topic on social media the day of the attack. One hashtag was particularly telling: #TerrorunAdiABD — “The name of terror is USA.”

The hashtag came with potent yet simple images associating the United States with the Islamic State (IS). For example, one tweet said, “The goal is to destroy Islam” and below was an image of a chess board populated with soldiers of IS, al-Qaeda, Boko Haram and the Free Syrian Army being maneuvered by a hand labeled with the US flag.

This was followed by the ultranationalist Aydinlik daily advising readers to consider the Mersin attack and its timing while remembering one of US Ambassador to Turkey John Bass’ departing statements.

On Oct. 11, just four days before Bass left Turkey, he praised the hard work of Turkish security forces and law enforcement and said their cooperation with American and other allies’ networks had prevented IS attacks on Turkish soil for 9½ months. His attempts to show appreciation, to say that the cooperation had direct and positive results, however, were interpreted by the pro-government media at best as a thinly veiled threat.

Bass’ statement was presented as an admission that the United States created and controls IS and, if it wanted to, could allow IS to attack Turkey again.

So the Mersin bus attack, taking place within a week of the ambassador’s words, was a nightmare come true, providing “evidence” to all the conspiracy theory-loving crowds linking the “threat” with the attack. That is how the Aydinlik view was shared on social media, along with other provocative statements.

For example, an anonymous Twitter user who supports the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) wrote just after the attack, “The culprits are at the US Embassy! For nine months there were no bomb explosions, so what has happened now?”

Another account shared a short video clip with Bass in the background and red subtitles on the screen reading “Ambassador Threatens Turkey,” with a television host repeating the “no attack in Turkey for the last nine months” line and asking, “So the question now is, did the US have a hand in the previous attacks in Turkey?” The Twitter user added, “Bass said no attack in the last 9½ months in Turkey and left. As soon as he left, a terror attack happens.”

Right after the Mersin attack, social media was tense. However, none of the pro-government newspapers, columnists or advisers of Erdogan and AKP lawmakers openly joined in on “The US is behind the Mersin bombing” conspiracy. And the next day, there were no rallies or protests. This indicates a controlled reaction and once again raises the question of whether public anger and mob attacks are haphazard or manipulated events in contemporary Turkey.

Though the administration chose not to promote the Mersin conspiracy angle, there are still a number of issues with the United States that are weighing on Ankara’s nerves. One is the visa crisis — and what is widely considered to be its origin. The Financial Times reported Oct. 9 that the arrest earlier this month of a US consulate employee in Turkey “confirmed suspicions that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan considers US detainees in Turkish prisons as a bargaining chip in its increasingly hostile negotiations with the United States over the extradition of Mr. Gulen and the trial of a Turkish-Iranian citizen with ties to Mr Erdogan’s inner circle.”

Since the July 2016 failed coup, the West — most of all the United States — has been portrayed as supporting the Gulen movement, which Turkey blames for the coup attempt. The Turkish government is angry over its failed efforts to extradite the movement’s leader, cleric Fethullah Gulen, who is Turkish but lives in the United States. Turkey also wants to extradite businessman Reza Zarrab and Turkish banker Hakan Atilla, who are currently imprisoned in the United States for allegedly making illegal transactions through US banks to help Iran’s government and other entities in Iran skirt sanctions.

It seems the unpredictability of what might be revealed through the US court cases is a crucial reason behind Ankara’s relentless anger, growing allegations and arrests of US Embassy personnel working in Turkey. Intensified anti-American rhetoric helps to discredit any information flow coming from the United States, thus protecting Erdogan and his inner circle from what they fear might be revealed during the Iran sanctions case. Erdogan has gone to great trouble himself to discredit all things Western. For example, in September he labeled all those who study in the West and return back home as “spies” — even though this group includes all of his own children. On Oct. 21, he declared the United States an “uncivilized” country for issuing arrest warrants for his bodyguards, who are accused of assaulting protesters in the United States.

As Al-Monitor reported in August, US bashing has reached a new peak in Turkey, where potential American suffering is seen as a reason to rejoice. Now, it is reflected in ordinary individuals’ daily lives. Some of these images are captured and shared in celebration or disbelief. For example, one photo from a restaurant appeared on forums after the owner posted signs in Turkish and English saying Americans aren’t allowed to eat there. In Samsun province, several barbers have declared they will not cut hair in the style called “American haircut.” (This is the name for a popular cut for men in Turkey where the sides are shaved and the top is spiked. Some barbers instead offer an “Ottoman-style” haircut as an option for those protesting the United States.)

Although these actions were ridiculed on social media, they provide clues about the Turkish mindset. Years of openly and falsely blaming the United States and using profanity against the United States and its representatives on public forums have left a deep mark on Turkish hearts and minds. Even if the two countries resolve their problems smoothly through diplomacy, Turkish distrust of the United States will require years of American efforts to correct.

Found in:

Pinar Tremblay is a columnist for Al-Monitor’s Turkey Pulse and a visiting scholar of political science at California State Polytechnic University, Pomona

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Anti-US, rhetoric, Turkey

Hamshen Armenian intellectuals wife detained in Turkey

October 20, 2017 By administrator

Police in Turkey have searched the house of Hamshen Armenian intellectual , and detained his wife.

Aksu informed that his wife was detained for her Facebook posts, according to Gazete Duvar (Wall Newspaper) online newspaper of Turkey.

“A typical Turkey phenomenon,” he wrote, in particular. “They [the police, also] took my computer and some books with them.”

Cemil Aksu has spent eight years in Turkish prisons because of his political views.

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Cemil Aksu, Turkey, wife detained

Turkish police arrest chief of NGO that sought to reach out to Armenia

October 19, 2017 By administrator

Turkish police on Thursday, October 19 detained a businessman who is one of the country’s leading civil society figures, reports said, raising fresh alarm over freedom of expression under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, AFP revealed.

Osman Kavala was detained at Istanbul’s Ataturk airport after flying in from the southern city of Gaziantep, the Dogan news agency said.

Kavala is the chairman of the Anadolu Kultur (Anatolian Culture) NGO which aims to overcome differences within Turkish society especially through culture and the arts.

The organisation has also sought to reach out to Armenia, with whom Turkey has no relations partly due to the dispute over the mass killings of Armenians under the Ottoman Empire which Yerevan regards as genocide.

Dogan news agency said Kavala had been in Gaziantep to discuss a project with Germany’s cultural outreach organisation the Goethe Institut.

It said he was detained in line with an investigation by Istanbul prosecutors, without giving further details.

The arrest comes as concern intensifies over the fate of Turkish civil society under the state of emergency imposed after last year’s failed coup that aimed to oust Erdogan.

Eleven human rights activists, including the two top figures from Amnesty International’s Turkey branch, will go on trial in Istanbul next week on hugely-controversial terror charges.

Meanwhile, 156 journalists, most detained under the state of emergency, are currently behind bars, according to the P24 activist group.

Reports said Kavala was born in Paris but took over the family business when his father died. He is also the co-founder of the Iletisim publishing house.

Related links:

AFP. Top Turkish civil society figure held at Istanbul airport: reports

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Arrest, ngo, Turkey

Turkey Simultaneously invading Iraq and Syria taking advantages of turmoil

October 18, 2017 By administrator

Agression The Turkish military has launched a land operation against the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in northern Iraq, stating that its aim is to “prevent PKK militants from threatening border security.”

The operation is the first time in nine years that Turkish land forces have engaged in Iraq.

Commando units entered the Zap region of Iraq after crossing from the Çukurca district of the southeastern province of Hakkari. The move, which is part of “Operation Zap,” came after the military determined an increase in movement of outlawed militants in the area, Doğan News Agency reported on Oct. 18.

Turkey’s return riles Syria: It’s ‘blatant aggression’

From Oct. 8-12, Turkish intelligence and special forces elements carried out reconnaissance in Syria north of Idlib and south of Afrin while maintaining contacts with Sunni opposition units that control the region. This preparatory activity was actually shaping an operational theater. Afterward, a Turkish detachment of about 100 commandos, 30 vehicles, and construction and military engineering equipment entered Syria.

An Oct. 13 statement from the Turkish military high command said Turkish troops that will serve in the Idlib de-escalation zone had begun erecting military observation posts, as specified during the peace talks in Astana, Kazakhstan. That night, a second Turkish detachment, which was operating M60T Sabra and Leopard 2 tanks, entered Syria and began deploying at Sheikh Barakat, an 842-meter-high (2,762-foot-high) mountain that dominates Afrin.

The government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad called Turkey’s deployment north of Idlib “a blatant aggression against the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Syria and a clear violation of international law and its principles.”

The Idlib operation launched Oct. 13 marks the third time the Turkish army has entered Syrian territory in less than three years. A February 2015 operation relocated the tomb of Suleiman Shah, which was threatened by the Islamic State (IS). In August 2016, Operation Euphrates Shield began clearing the Jarablus-al Rai-al Bab triangle of IS elements; that campaign lasted seven months.

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: against, aggression, and Syria, Iraq, Turkey

Breaking News: Turkey Mersin, bomb attack against police shuttle bus 18 wounded

October 17, 2017 By administrator

bomb attack against police shuttleA bomb exploded as a bus carrying police was passing by in the southern province of Mersin on Oct. 17, wounding a dozen officers, officials said.

The blast occurred on a main road in the provice, the state-run Anadolu Agency reported.

Deputy Prime Minister Bekir Bozdağ said 17 police officers and one civilian were wounded in the attack.

He added that it was a “terror attack” according to initial findings.

Three prosecutors were assigned to investigate, a local prosecutor had stated.

Several police officers, ambulances and firefighters were sent to the scene, the agency reported earlier.

The Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) has targeted police in similar attacks in the past.

 

Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: against police, bomb attack, shuttle, Turkey

New Armenian Genocide movie’s (Caravan) director is forced to withdraw film from Turkey cinemas

October 14, 2017 By administrator

The director of the movie “Kervan (Caravan) 1915,” which is about Armenian Genocide and which hit the large screens in Turkey several days ago, has announced that he is forced to remove the film from the country’s cinemas.

Turkey’s movie theaters are deliberately showing this film by director İsmail Güneş only in the early morning, and this has made the director to withdraw the film from the cinemas, according to Cumhuriyet (Republic) daily of Turkey.

Güneş stated that some forces obstructed him in every way during the shooting of this movie, and this continues to this day. The director stressed that cinemas in Turkey deliberately show his movie solely once in the morning so that only few people would watch it.

“For that reason, I have to call the film back from movie theaters,” he added.

As reported earlier, the Turkish director of “Kervan 1915” had said this film does not attempt to show whether or not there was genocide, but it just tells the story of a coachman, who was instructed to transfer 200 Armenians from Giresun to Aleppo, during which he “selflessly” defends the Armenians who were “entrusted” to him, from the attacks by bandits.

The director of the movie had stressed that on their way from Giresun to Aleppo, the characters of the film also witness scenes of massacres.

Filed Under: Genocide, News Tagged With: Genocide, movie, Turkey, withdraw

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